Tropical Storm Isaias Tracker
Live forecast cone, path and warnings
Not an official forecast. For warnings and evacuation orders, follow NHC and your local authorities.
Watches & warnings
No coastal watches or warnings are in effect.
Source · NHC advisory 3
Key messages
FULL ADVISORY 3As of NHC advisory 3 (Oct 7 09:00 UTC), Tropical Storm Isaias was centered near 22.0°N 94.1°W, about 220 miles (360 km) ENE of Túxpam de Rodríguez Cano, Mexico. Maximum sustained winds were 40 mph (65 km/h), making it a tropical storm, with a minimum central pressure of 1004 mb. It was moving ENE at 8 mph (13 km/h).
- 01There is an increasing risk of dangerous wind and storm surge impacts along portions of the northern Gulf Coast. Residents from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle should closely monitor the latest forecast updates and ensure they have their hurricane plan in place. Hurricane and Storm Surge Watches will likely be required for a portion of the northern Gulf coast later today.
- 02Tropical Storm Isaias will bring areas of heavy rainfall to the central U.S. Gulf coast and much of the Southeast Friday into the weekend. Flash and urban flooding, along with isolated river flooding, will be possible.
- 03Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico: Tropical Storm Isaias is expected to strengthen and could bring gusty winds and areas of heavy rain to the western portion of the Yucatan Peninsula over the next day or two.
Key messages are quoted from the NHC forecast discussion. Numbers are never rewritten.
Forecast
NHC advisory 3| When | Time | Position | Strength | Wind | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 22.0°N 94.1°W | TS | 40 mph / 65 km/h | Current position | |
| +12 h | 22.2°N 92.9°W | TS | 60 mph / 95 km/h | ||
| +24 h | 22.7°N 91.4°W | C1 | 75 mph / 120 km/h | ||
| +36 h | 23.9°N 89.7°W | C1 | 90 mph / 150 km/h | ||
| +48 h | 25.5°N 88.5°W | C2 | 110 mph / 175 km/h | ||
| +60 h | 27.7°N 87.7°W | C2 | 105 mph / 165 km/h | ||
| +72 h | 30.8°N 87.7°W | C1 | 85 mph / 140 km/h | Inland | |
| +96 h | 38.2°N 87.5°W | TD | 30 mph / 45 km/h | Post-tropical, inland |
Intensity
How far is Isaias from me?
Tropical Storm Isaias FAQ
Where will Tropical Storm Isaias make landfall?
The NHC forecast track shows the center of Isaias moving inland near Daphne, United States around Oct 10 06:00 UTC. Timing and strength can change with each advisory, so follow the official warnings for your area.
How strong is Tropical Storm Isaias right now?
As of advisory 3 (Oct 7 09:00 UTC), Isaias has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph (65 km/h), making it a tropical storm. The minimum central pressure is 1004 mb. It is moving ENE at 8 mph (13 km/h).
Will Tropical Storm Isaias affect the United States?
As of advisory 3 (Oct 7 09:00 UTC), there are no U.S. coastal watches or warnings, but NHC's key messages mention U.S. impacts: "Tropical Storm Isaias will bring areas of heavy rainfall to the central U.S. Gulf coast and much of the Southeast Friday into the weekend. Flash and urban flooding, along with isolated river flooding, will be possible."
When is the next advisory?
The next NHC advisory on Isaias is expected at Oct 7 15:00 UTC. NHC issues complete advisories every six hours (03, 09, 15 and 21 UTC), with intermediate advisories every three hours while coastal watches or warnings are in effect. This page updates within minutes of each release.